Published on: 10 Dec, 2025 03:34

Markets face a third day of caution on December 10, 2025, with a flat-to-negative start as global anxiety ahead of the Fed outcome weighs on sentiment.

Key Themes & Picks

  • Gift Nifty signals a muted open after another negative session.

  • Global uncertainty prevails as the Fed's rate decision looms.

  • Focus shifts to metals, agrochemicals, and selective financials.

  • Stock picks: Hindustan Copper, Coromandel International, IDFC First Bank.

  • Monitor Tata Power and Swiggy for corporate developments.

The Indian stock market is poised for a cautious start today, mirroring subdued global cues as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Overnight, U.S. futures wavered with the Fed's meeting underway, while Asian markets mostly slipped amid anxiety over potential hawkish signals from the central bank. Gift Nifty futures traded around 25,907, signaling a flat-to-negative open with a discount of about 24 points to Nifty's previous close. This comes after yesterday's session where the Sensex declined 436 points to 84,666 and Nifty fell 121 points to 25,839, dragged by IT stocks but partially offset by financials.

Key themes today include caution in the broader market due to global uncertainties, with focus on sectors like metals, agrochemicals, and banking amid selective buy calls. A total of around 15-20 fresh recommendations were aggregated from credible sources, emphasizing intraday and short-term picks. Standout calls include a buy on Hindustan Copper from MSN analysts, bullish outlook on Coromandel International by The Hindu BusinessLine, and recommendations for IDFC First Bank and Sansera Engineering from Business Standard. Other notable mentions involve stocks to watch like Tata Power and Swiggy amid corporate developments.

Section 1: Index Outlook

The overall index sentiment remains cautious, with technical analysts pointing to key support levels amid potential downside risks. Nifty is expected to trade sideways to lower, influenced by global factors like the Fed's anticipated quarter-point rate cut and mixed Asian peers. A break below 25,700 could accelerate selling towards 25,500-25,615, while resistance holds at 26,000. Sensex mirrors this, with a muted open likely around 84,500-84,700. Pre-market indicators from Gift Nifty suggest limited upside, driven by overnight Wall Street's flat close and concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions.

Index Recommendation Target/Range Key Driver Source
Nifty 50 Cautious/Hold 25,500-26,000 Fed rate decision, IT weakness, global cues Business Standard, Livemint
Sensex Neutral 84,000-85,000 Muted Asian markets, FII outflows Goodreturns, Moneycontrol
Bank Nifty Watch Support 55,000-56,000 Financials offsetting losses, RBI policy aftermath YouTube Analysis, ET Now

Technical charts indicate a small negative candle on Nifty's daily graph, reinforcing short-term weakness. Investors are advised to monitor Fed outcomes for directional cues, with bullish drivers potentially emerging from strong domestic financials.

 


Section 2: Sector-Wise Stock Picks

Fresh calls today lean towards selective buying in undervalued or breakout stocks across metals, agrochemicals, banking, and auto ancillaries. IT remains under pressure, down up to 4% in recent sessions despite Fed rate cut hopes, due to sector-specific concerns like delayed U.S. spending. Banking and financials provided some lift yesterday, with over 30 Nifty stocks ending in red but financials helping pare losses. Below are categorized picks, focusing on today's updates. Data is sparse for some brokerages like Motilal Oswal and ICICI Securities, with no new calls noted pre-8:30 AM IST; however, general outlooks from portals like Moneycontrol and ET highlight intraday opportunities.

Banking & Financials

This sector is in focus amid resilient loan books and potential capex recovery. Analysts recommend buys on stocks showing breakout patterns.

  • IDFC First Bank (IDFCFIRSTB.NS) – Buy, Target: Not specified (short-term upside), Rationale: Strong support at key levels, positive technicals in cautious market; ideal for intraday gains amid financial sector resilience. Source: Business Standard.
  • AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK.NS) – Watch/Buy on dips, Target: ₹700-750 (upside ~10%), Rationale: Positive trade spotlight amid market breadth improvement; strong fundamentals in small finance space. Source: Moneycontrol.

Metals & Mining

Metals see selective buys on breakout retests, supported by global commodity trends.

  • Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER.NS) – Buy near ₹360-340, Target: ₹410 (upside ~14%), Stop Loss: ₹320, Rationale: Breakout retest with strong structure; favorable amid industrial recovery cues. Source: MSN.
  • Nalco (NATIONALUM.NS) – Watch, Target: Not specified, Rationale: Corporate developments; potential upside from aluminum demand. Source: Business Standard.

Agrochemicals & FMCG

Bullish trends in select names, driven by seasonal demand and technicals.

  • Coromandel International (COROMANDEL.NS) – Buy, Target: Not specified (bullish potential), Rationale: Showing bullish trends; promising for fresh buyers amid agro sector stability. Source: The Hindu BusinessLine.
  • Colgate-Palmolive (COLPAL.NS) – Buy on dips, Target: ₹3,200-3,400 (upside ~8%), Rationale: Trade spotlight; resilient consumer demand despite market caution. Source: Moneycontrol.

Auto & Ancillaries

Auto components gain traction on engineering strength.

  • Sansera Engineering (SANSERA.NS) – Buy, Target: Not specified (short-term), Rationale: Top pick amid Nifty caution; strong engineering base for auto recovery. Source: Business Standard.

Other Stocks to Watch (Mixed Sectors)

  • Tata Power (TATAPOWER.NS) – Watch, Rationale: Corporate news; renewable energy focus. Source: Business Standard.
  • Swiggy (SWIGGY.NS) – Watch, Rationale: E-commerce developments; potential volatility post-IPO. Source: Moneycontrol.
  • Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE.NS) – Watch, Rationale: Pharma sector cues; steady demand. Source: Moneycontrol.

For visual insight, target upsides range from 8-14% in short-term picks, with banking and metals showing higher potential.

Sector Average Upside % Top Stock Example
Banking 10% IDFC First Bank
Metals 14% Hindustan Copper
Agro/FMCG 8% Coromandel Int'l

 



Section 3: Global & Thematic Insights

Global brokerages maintain a positive long-term view on India, with Goldman Sachs' November upgrade to 'overweight' and Nifty target of 29,000 by end-2026 still relevant amid today's caution. Thematic calls include value in midcaps from Macquarie (older context), but today's focus is on cross-border risks like U.S. tariffs. BSE/NSE announcements highlight IPO listings like Meesho and Aequs, implying fresh market entries but no direct recos. Regulatory nuggets: No major block deals or analyst meets flagged pre-open, but ongoing corporate filings suggest steady activity.

 


Conclusion & Disclaimer

Overall market sentiment is neutral-to-bearish today, with selective buying opportunities in resilient sectors like banking and metals. Investors should watch Hindustan Copper and IDFC First Bank for potential gains amid Fed volatility.

This is aggregated data for informational purposes; consult a financial advisor. Not investment advice. Pre-market snapshot – updates may evolve post-open.


Sources & Citations

 
 

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