Published on: 11 Dec, 2025 09:00

Markets set for a strong open, lifted by the Fed's third consecutive rate cut.

  • Global Boost: Fed's 25 bps cut fuels optimism; global indices rally.

  • Robust Start: Gift Nifty signals a gain of ~131 points for Nifty 50.

  • Sectors in Focus: Rate-sensitive banking, IT, and metals gain traction.

  • Brokerage Buys: Top picks include ICICI Prudential Life, Eicher Motors, and Infosys.

  • Key Theme: Rebound expected after three straight sessions of losses.

As of December 11, 2025, Indian markets are set to open on a buoyant note, riding the wave of the US Federal Reserve's anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut in its December meeting, which could further ease global liquidity and support rate-sensitive sectors. Overnight, US indices closed mixed with the Dow Jones up 0.4% amid tech gains, while Asian peers like the Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng are indicated higher by 0.5-0.7%. Domestically, GIFT Nifty futures are trading at 25,890, up 132 points, suggesting a gap-up open for Nifty 50 around 25,800 levels, recovering from yesterday's 0.32% dip to 25,758. Volatility remains subdued with India VIX at 10.91, down 2%, but FII outflows of ₹1,651 Cr yesterday highlight caution amid elevated valuations.

Today's themes center on financials and insurance, buoyed by potential RBI rate cut signals, alongside selective IT and auto picks amid earnings season tailwinds. We aggregated 25+ fresh recommendations from credible sources like Nuvama, Anand Rathi, MarketSmith India, and ET Markets, focusing on updates timestamped December 11 or late December 10 IST. No major conflicts noted, with consensus leaning bullish on insurance. Standouts include ICICI Prudential Life (Buy at ₹643, target ₹690) for breakout momentum, Cholamandalam Investment (Buy, target ₹1,600) on NBFC resilience, and Hindustan Copper (Buy) amid metal upcycle. This 8:30 AM IST snapshot captures pre-open buzz; intraday evolves post-Fed.

 

Section 1: Index Outlook

Benchmark indices are eyeing a rebound, with Nifty 50 potentially testing 26,000 if it holds above 25,800, supported by global rate easing and domestic DII buying of ₹3,752 Cr. Sensex could reclaim 84,000, while Bank Nifty eyes 56,000 resistance on banking tailwinds. However, FII selling pressures cap upside, with key support at 25,500. Overall, sentiment tilts bullish short-term, per Moneycontrol and Livemint outlooks, though PCR at 0.73 signals mild caution.

Index Recommendation Target/Range Key Driver Source
Nifty 50 Bullish 25,900-26,100 GIFT Nifty gap-up, Fed cut optimism Moneycontrol, Livemint
Sensex Bullish 84,000-84,600 US indices higher, DII flows ET Markets
Bank Nifty Accumulate 55,800-56,200 Insurance, NBFC strength post-rate cues Hindu BusinessLine
Nifty IT Neutral 38,500-39,000 Mixed Q2 earnings, AI deals offset Economic Times

 

Section 2: Sector-Wise Stock Picks

Banking & Financials

Rate cut hopes spotlight NBFCs and insurers, with upgrades on growth visibility. Nuvama and Bajaj Broking highlight resilient balance sheets amid festive recovery.

  • ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (ICICIPRULI.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹690 (Upside: 7%), Rationale: Technical breakout above ₹642 with strong momentum; insurance sector upcycle on VNB growth. Source: Hindu BusinessLine, Times of India.
  • Cholamandalam Investment & Finance (CHOLAFIN.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹1,600 (Upside: 12%), Rationale: Support at 50-DMA holds; NBFC outperformance expected with liquidity boost. Source: Nuvama via Times of India.
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (M&MFIN.NS) – Accumulate, Target: ₹320 (Upside: 9%), Rationale: Rural recovery aids asset quality; reiterated Buy on revenue surge. Source: Nuvama.
  • Union Bank of India (UNIONBANK.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹150 (Upside: 10%), Rationale: Flag breakout post-consolidation; PSU bank rally on rate easing. Source: Nuvama.

IT & Tech

Mixed Q2 results temper enthusiasm, but select names shine on deal wins. Citi maintains Buy on IT majors for US growth.

  • Infosys (INFY.NS) – Hold, Target: ₹2,000, Rationale: Pipeline strength offsets demand softness; EPS upgrades for FY26. Source: Economic Times.
  • HCL Technologies (HCLTECH.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹1,950 (Upside: 8%), Rationale: Weekly pick on engineering services momentum. Source: Motilal Oswal via Times of India.

Auto & Auto Ancillaries

EV push and festive sales drive calls, with breakouts noted.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹3,200 (Upside: 11%), Rationale: SUV demand surge; revenue growth across segments. Source: Nuvama, SBI Securities.
  • Bajaj Auto (BAJAJ-AUTO.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹12,000 (Upside: 9%), Rationale: Bullish triangle breakout; two-wheeler volume uptick. Source: Nuvama.
  • Minda Corporation (MINDACOR.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹600 (Upside: 10%), Rationale: Auto ancillary flag formation; EV component demand. Source: Nuvama.

Metals & Mining

Commodity rebound favors picks, with Anand Rathi bullish on copper.

  • Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹350 (Upside: 15%), Rationale: Breakout above ₹300; global copper deficit aids. Source: Anand Rathi via Times of India.
  • Hindustan Zinc (HINDZINC.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹520 (Upside: 12%), Rationale: Zinc price rally; reiterated on export strength. Source: Anand Rathi.

Pharma & Healthcare

US approvals and launches in focus.

  • Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹1,200 (Upside: 10%), Rationale: Bed expansion and margin recovery; weekly pick. Source: Bajaj Broking via Times of India.
  • Fortis Healthcare (FORTIS.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹550 (Upside: 8%), Rationale: Capacity additions; festive demand boost. Source: Bajaj Broking.

Infrastructure & Realty

Capex cycle supports.

  • Ashok Leyland (ASHOKLEY.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹155 (Upside: 9%), Rationale: 15-DMA support; infra order inflows. Source: Mirae Asset Sharekhan.

Other Sectors

  • Ambuja Cements (AMBUJACEM.NS) – Sell, Target: ₹480 (Downside: 5%), Rationale: Margin pressures, slower capex; downgrade by Emkay. Source: Emkay Global via ET.
  • GAIL India (GAIL.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹250 (Upside: 11%), Rationale: Improved risk-reward; energy sector pivot. Source: Citi via ET.
  • Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN.NS) – Buy, Target: ₹350 (Upside: 12%), Rationale: Lending arm growth; festive fintech surge. Source: Bajaj Broking.


Section 3: Global & Thematic Insights

Global desks like Citi and Jefferies stay overweight on India, with Nifty targets at 28,100 by Dec 2026 on 13% earnings CAGR, per Axis Securities. Emkay flags cement downgrades on margins, but Nuvama sees auto/insurance as thematic winners amid consumption revival. Macquarie eyes midcaps for value, while BSE feeds note analyst meets for Persistent Systems, hinting upgrades. Regulatory: No major announcements, but RBI's potential Dec cut bolsters fintech. Blogs like Samco push long-term holds in HDFC Bank for stability.

 

Conclusion & Disclaimer

Sentiment skews bullish with Fed tailwinds and DII support, though FII flows merit watch. Key takeaway: Prioritize insurance and metals for 8-15% near-term pops.

Aggregated for info only; seek advisor. Not advice. Pre-market—subject to change.

 

 



Sources & Citations


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